Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001458 0.001545 0.001636 0.001736 0.001844 0.001958 0.002085
2025-03-09 0.001305 0.001426 0.001555 0.001704 0.001872 0.002055 0.002270
2025-03-16 0.001213 0.001356 0.001514 0.001701 0.001918 0.002163 0.002463
2025-03-23 0.001133 0.001290 0.001467 0.001683 0.001940 0.002238 0.002613
2025-03-30 0.001074 0.001242 0.001435 0.001676 0.001969 0.002318 0.002770
2025-04-06 0.001015 0.001190 0.001394 0.001653 0.001975 0.002367 0.002886
2025-04-13 0.000962 0.001141 0.001353 0.001626 0.001973 0.002403 0.002985
2025-04-20 0.000900 0.001078 0.001292 0.001571 0.001930 0.002384 0.003010
2025-04-27 0.000878 0.001062 0.001287 0.001585 0.001976 0.002478 0.003186
2025-05-04 0.000865 0.001058 0.001296 0.001617 0.002044 0.002603 0.003410
2025-05-11 0.000859 0.001061 0.001315 0.001661 0.002130 0.002756 0.003678
2025-05-18 0.000832 0.001036 0.001295 0.001653 0.002144 0.002810 0.003809
2025-05-25 0.000788 0.000991 0.001250 0.001612 0.002117 0.002812 0.003875
2025-06-01 0.000753 0.000954 0.001215 0.001584 0.002106 0.002838 0.003978
2025-06-08 0.000730 0.000933 0.001199 0.001581 0.002130 0.002913 0.004158
2025-06-15 0.000703 0.000906 0.001175 0.001565 0.002133 0.002957 0.004293
2025-06-22 0.000682 0.000886 0.001158 0.001559 0.002150 0.003021 0.004462
2025-06-29 0.000657 0.000859 0.001132 0.001538 0.002144 0.003050 0.004575
2025-07-06 0.000633 0.000833 0.001105 0.001513 0.002131 0.003067 0.004669
2025-07-13 0.000601 0.000795 0.001061 0.001463 0.002076 0.003016 0.004645
2025-07-20 0.000592 0.000788 0.001060 0.001476 0.002120 0.003121 0.004892
2025-07-27 0.000587 0.000788 0.001070 0.001505 0.002188 0.003268 0.005222
2025-08-03 0.000587 0.000794 0.001087 0.001545 0.002276 0.003454 0.005631